Posts Tagged ‘Investment Strategy Made Simple’

World yield curve inversion is falling because of rising LT rates. Rising LT rates are reducing yield curve inversion fastest in DM Americas and DM Europe. Rates are high across EMs, crushing in FMs, and low in EM Asia. France and Germany ST rates rising; DM countries have past peak yield curve inversion due to rising LT rates. Rates are low in China, which, together with India, never inverted.

5 Warning signs of impending recession – 1. Inverted yield curve, 2. Peak employment, 3. A slowdown in bank lending, 4. Leading indicators falling & bankruptcies rising, 5. Weakening consumer.

Will the global CPI slowdown continue? Or will it rebound?

Andrew is talking about a book that has landed on his desk; Stocks for the Long Run: The Definitive Guide to Financial Market Returns & Long-Term Investment Strategies. In his book, Siegel tells us to expect a 5% long-term real US stock market return. One of the first charts that he shares in the book shows the US nominal returns.

What’s interesting about Toyota is that if you buy today, you get its future growth for free.