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	<title>Failed to test the investment thesis &#8211; My Worst Investment Ever</title>
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	<title>Failed to test the investment thesis &#8211; My Worst Investment Ever</title>
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		<title>Classic Bike Collecting Dust Is Better Than a Dog of an Underdog </title>
		<link>https://myworstinvestmentever.com/blog/classic-bike-collecting-dust-is-better-than-a-dog-of-an-underdog/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Andrew Stotz]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 May 2019 06:00:57 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">https://myworstinvestmentever.com/?post_type=blogging&#038;p=3161</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>When initially considering what my worst investment was, I thought about the 50-year-old Royal Enfield motorcycle that I bought in my early 40s (guess why?), which is so delicate that it never works and just stands in my mother-in-law’s garage in Switzerland. But on further reflection, it still makes me happy that I own this bike, which means: “I’m&#8230;</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://myworstinvestmentever.com/blog/classic-bike-collecting-dust-is-better-than-a-dog-of-an-underdog/">Classic Bike Collecting Dust Is Better Than a Dog of an Underdog </a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://myworstinvestmentever.com">My Worst Investment Ever</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>When initially considering what my worst investment</strong><span data-contrast="auto"><strong> was</strong>, I thought about the 50-year-old Royal Enfield motorcycle that I bought in my early </span><span data-contrast="auto">40s </span><span data-contrast="auto">(guess why?), which is so delicate that it never works and just stands in my mother-in-law’s garage in Switzerland. But on further reflection, it still makes me happy that I own this bike, which means</span><span data-contrast="auto">:</span><span data-contrast="auto"> </span><span data-contrast="auto">“</span><span data-contrast="auto">I’m such a cool dude.”  </span><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3 aria-level="2"><b><span data-contrast="none">Ignoring expert means false bottom also ignored</span></b><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:40,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></h3>
<p><span data-contrast="auto">M</span><span data-contrast="auto">y worst investment </span><span data-contrast="auto">has to be </span><span data-contrast="auto">when I convinced my wife (who is also my asset manager) to buy UBS </span><span data-contrast="auto">Group </span><span data-contrast="auto">AG </span><span data-contrast="auto">(</span><span data-contrast="auto">Swiss multinational investment bank</span><span data-contrast="auto"> [<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/UBSG:SW">UBSG:SW</a>,</span> <a href="https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/overview/UBSG.S"><span data-contrast="auto">UBSG.S</span></a>, <span data-contrast="auto">])</span><span data-contrast="auto"> </span><span data-contrast="auto">shares in 2009 or so after the bank had almost gone bankrupt and its shares had tumbled from 68 </span><span data-contrast="auto">Swiss francs (CHF) </span><span data-contrast="auto">to 20 CHF. </span><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></p>
<h3 aria-level="2"><b><span data-contrast="none">Disliked bank takes on </span></b><b><span data-contrast="none">flawed new </span></b><b><span data-contrast="none">luster </span></b></h3>
<p aria-level="2">Actually, I had never liked UBS as a company, but I had thought that its share price had hit its bottom, that such a solid bank would never go under and that it would recover quickly. My wife thought it was a stupid idea but she allowed herself to be talked into the play.</p>
<h3 aria-level="2"><b><span data-contrast="none">Investor shuns </span></b><b><span data-contrast="none">inner voice, cheers for wrong underdog</span></b><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:40,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></h3>
<p aria-level="2">The share price has never really recovered (remains at 13.64 CHF at the time of writing). Which is only half the reason why this was my worst investment. The main reason is that despite not liking UBS, I was suddenly forced to wish them well, even having to follow the news about these idiots.</p>
<h3 aria-level="2"><b><span data-contrast="none">What </span></b><b><span data-contrast="none">was </span></b><b><span data-contrast="none">learn</span></b><b><span data-contrast="none">ed</span></b><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:40,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></h3>
<p><span data-contrast="auto">I gained two valuable insights</span><span data-contrast="auto">: a) leave financial matters to my wife</span><span data-contrast="auto"> (</span><span data-contrast="auto">a financial professional),</span><span data-contrast="auto"> b) only invest in companies that I actually like (their </span><span data-contrast="auto">business </span><span data-contrast="auto">model, passion, image, culture</span><span data-contrast="auto"> and the like</span><span data-contrast="auto">).   </span><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3 aria-level="1"><b><span data-contrast="none">Andrew’s takeaways – Avoid these errors to become a better investor</span></b><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:240,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></h3>
<h4 aria-level="2"><b><span data-contrast="none">Just because it’s cheap</span></b><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:40,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></h4>
<p><span data-contrast="auto">When I was young, my mother often said: “Just because it’s cheap, doesn’t mean you have to buy it.” Many people jump into an investment because they think it’s at a once-in-a-lifetime price. When the price is “cheap”, they ignore so many factors, such as the future outlook. Think about when you’ve gone shopping and found a deeply discounted item. It was neither exactly the right color nor exactly the right size, but the price was so low it was irresistible. This type of buying is usually a waste of money.</span><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></p>
<h4 aria-level="2"><b><span data-contrast="none">Write </span></b><b><span data-contrast="none">a plan and follow it</span></b><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:40,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></h4>
<p><span data-contrast="auto">One of the most important steps in the process of investing is to </span><span data-contrast="auto">write </span><span data-contrast="auto">a plan and follow it. The benefit of </span><span data-contrast="auto">writing </span><span data-contrast="auto">a plan is that it requires you to think ahead about what it is you want to invest in. The plan also serves as a guide that you can compare your actions to see if you are investing the way you want. So</span><span data-contrast="auto">,</span><span data-contrast="auto"> </span><span data-contrast="auto">make a plan</span><span data-contrast="auto"> and follow it</span><span data-contrast="auto">.</span><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3 aria-level="1"><b><span data-contrast="none">Mistakes in this story</span></b><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:240,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></h3>
<h4 aria-level="3"><b><span data-contrast="none">1. Failed to do their own research</span></b><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:40,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></h4>
<ul>
<li data-leveltext="" data-font="Symbol" data-listid="2" aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-posinset="1" data-aria-level="1"><span data-contrast="auto">Failed to test the investment thesis</span><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}"> </span></li>
<li data-leveltext="" data-font="Symbol" data-listid="2" aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-posinset="2" data-aria-level="1"><span data-contrast="auto">Ignored a professional’s advice</span><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:714,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259,&quot;335559991&quot;:357}"> </span></li>
</ul>
<h4 aria-level="3"><b><span data-contrast="none">3</span></b><b><span data-contrast="none">. </span></b><b><span data-contrast="none">D</span></b><b><span data-contrast="none">riven by emotion or flawed thinking</span></b><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:40,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></h4>
<ul>
<li data-leveltext="" data-font="Symbol" data-listid="2" aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-posinset="1" data-aria-level="1"><span data-contrast="auto">Let emotions drive their investment decision</span></li>
</ul>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://myworstinvestmentever.com/blog/classic-bike-collecting-dust-is-better-than-a-dog-of-an-underdog/">Classic Bike Collecting Dust Is Better Than a Dog of an Underdog </a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://myworstinvestmentever.com">My Worst Investment Ever</a>.</p>
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		<title>‘Try Before You Buy’, If at All Possible</title>
		<link>https://myworstinvestmentever.com/blog/try-before-you-buy-if-at-all-possible/</link>
					<comments>https://myworstinvestmentever.com/blog/try-before-you-buy-if-at-all-possible/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Andrew Stotz]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Apr 2019 09:52:56 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">https://myworstinvestmentever.com/?post_type=blogging&#038;p=3100</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The worst investment I have ever made in Thailand was buying land. I had the idea of building a house for my parents on a block in Cha-am, Phetchaburi province, at the southern end of the Kingdom’s central region.   Don’t buy a home unless you really want to live there  After I acquired the land, my parents lived in the area for a few months on my suggestion because I thought it would&#8230;</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://myworstinvestmentever.com/blog/try-before-you-buy-if-at-all-possible/">‘Try Before You Buy’, If at All Possible</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://myworstinvestmentever.com">My Worst Investment Ever</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span data-contrast="auto">T</span><span data-contrast="auto">he worst investment </span><span data-contrast="auto">I have ever </span><span data-contrast="auto">made in Thailand was buying land. </span><span data-contrast="auto">I had </span><span data-contrast="auto">the idea of building a</span><span data-contrast="auto"> house for my parents </span><span data-contrast="auto">on </span><span data-contrast="auto">a </span><span data-contrast="auto">block </span><span data-contrast="auto">in Cha-am, P</span><span data-contrast="auto">h</span><span data-contrast="auto">etchaburi province, </span><span data-contrast="auto">at the southern end of the Kingdom</span><span data-contrast="auto">’s central region</span><span data-contrast="auto">. </span><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></p>
<h3 aria-level="2"></h3>
<h3 aria-level="2"><b><span data-contrast="none">Don’t buy a home unless you really want to live there</span></b><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:40,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></h3>
<p><span data-contrast="auto">After </span><span data-contrast="auto">I </span><span data-contrast="auto">a</span><span data-contrast="auto">cquired</span><span data-contrast="auto"> the land</span><span data-contrast="auto">,</span><span data-contrast="auto"> my parents lived in the area for </span><span data-contrast="auto">a few months </span><span data-contrast="auto">on my suggestion because </span><span data-contrast="auto">I thought it </span><span data-contrast="auto">would be </span><span data-contrast="auto">best </span><span data-contrast="auto">for them </span><span data-contrast="auto">that they get a feel for </span><span data-contrast="auto">the area </span><span data-contrast="auto">before building the house; it </span><span data-contrast="auto">ended up </span><span data-contrast="auto">being </span><span data-contrast="auto">a </span><span data-contrast="auto">good </span><span data-contrast="auto">decision </span><span data-contrast="auto">because </span><span data-contrast="auto">they didn’t like </span><span data-contrast="auto">the area at all.</span><span data-contrast="auto"> </span><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></p>
<h3 aria-level="2"></h3>
<h3 aria-level="2"><b><span data-contrast="none">Basic questions to ask yourself </span></b><b><i><span data-contrast="none">before</span></i></b><b><span data-contrast="none"> a cent is spent </span></b><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:40,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></h3>
<p><span data-contrast="auto">In an ideal world</span><span data-contrast="auto">,</span><span data-contrast="auto"> I </span><span data-contrast="auto">would </span><span data-contrast="auto">have </span><span data-contrast="auto">let my parents experience the area </span><span data-contrast="auto">before buying the land in the first place, but </span><span data-contrast="auto">it was </span><span data-contrast="auto">a good lesson. Nowadays, before making an important decision I ask myself two simple questions: “Is there any way to test it first before commit</span><span data-contrast="auto">t</span><span data-contrast="auto">ing?” </span><span data-contrast="auto">and </span><span data-contrast="auto">“What would I recommend my best friend to do, if he was making the investment?” Other great questions I like to ask are: What don’t I know? What don’t I see? And what assumptions am I making that may or might not be true? </span><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></p>
<h3 aria-level="2"></h3>
<h3 aria-level="2"><b><span data-contrast="none">What don’t I know? What don’t I see?</span></b><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:40,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></h3>
<p><span data-contrast="auto">To emphasize the importance of </span><span data-contrast="auto">these </span><span data-contrast="auto">questions</span><span data-contrast="auto">,</span><span data-contrast="auto"> a friend of mine started a business that sells nitro coffee</span><span data-contrast="auto">*</span><span data-contrast="auto"> from small mobile vans around Bangkok. He made the assumption that he would have few competitors due to the time and expense of getting started. </span><span data-contrast="auto">Almost immediately after setting up his company</span><span data-contrast="auto">,</span><span data-contrast="auto"> </span><span data-contrast="auto">Starbucks </span><span data-contrast="auto">started selling nitro coffee!</span><span data-contrast="auto"> </span><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="auto">&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;</span><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">*Nitro coffee – </span><span data-contrast="none">Cold-brew coffee infused with nitrogen gas is released through a pressurized valve with tiny holes. As high pressure forces the brew past a disc, it creates a creamy, stout-like effect.</span><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></p>
<h3><strong>Andrew’s takeaways – Avoid these errors to become a better investor </strong></h3>
<h4 aria-level="2"><b><span data-contrast="none">Try before you buy</span></b><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:40,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></h4>
<p><span data-contrast="auto">Land is </span><span data-contrast="auto">usually </span><span data-contrast="auto">a very illiquid investment</span><span data-contrast="auto"> because </span><span data-contrast="auto">when you want to sell it, </span><span data-contrast="auto">it can be very hard to find a </span><span data-contrast="auto">buyer, especially at the price you want. Therefore, it makes sense to do a considerable amount of re</span><span data-contrast="auto">search, but that research should be done before you buy the land, not after.</span><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}"> </span></p>
<h3 aria-level="1"></h3>
<h3 aria-level="1"><b><span data-contrast="none">Mistakes in this story</span></b><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:240,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></h3>
<h4 aria-level="3"><b><span data-contrast="none">1. Failed </span></b><b><span data-contrast="none">to initially research</span></b><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:40,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}"> </span></h4>
<ul>
<li data-leveltext="" data-font="Symbol" data-listid="3" aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-posinset="1" data-aria-level="1"><span data-contrast="auto">Inadequately researched type of investment</span><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:714,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:240,&quot;335559991&quot;:357}"> </span></li>
<li data-leveltext="" data-font="Symbol" data-listid="3" aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-posinset="2" data-aria-level="1"><span data-contrast="auto">Failed to test the investment thesis</span><span data-ccp-props="{&quot;134233279&quot;:true,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}"> </span></li>
</ul>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://myworstinvestmentever.com/blog/try-before-you-buy-if-at-all-possible/">‘Try Before You Buy’, If at All Possible</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://myworstinvestmentever.com">My Worst Investment Ever</a>.</p>
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